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League Two · Scotland
Annan Athletic vs Stranraer prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Annan Athletic host Stranraer in the League Two (Scotland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Annan Athletic 1–6 Stranraer.
Going into the match, Annan Athletic had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Stranraer had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Annan Athletic's last 10 and 6 of Stranraer's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Annan Athletic averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Stranraer averaged 1.73 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Annan Athletic and 1.86 from Stranraer. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 54%, against 35%, 26% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Annan Athletic (green) and Stranraer (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annan Athletic | LWDLW | 1.40 | 0.90 | 40% | 40% |
| Stranraer | DWLWW | 2.70 | 1.40 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Stranraer 0–1 Annan Athletic
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.