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Second League - Group 1 · Russia
Angust Nazran vs Pobeda prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Angust Nazran host Pobeda in the Second League - Group 1 (Russia) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Pobeda to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.23, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Angust Nazran 1–0 Pobeda.
Going into the match, Angust Nazran had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 11. Pobeda had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Angust Nazran's last 10 and 5 of Pobeda's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Angust Nazran averaged 0.42 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Pobeda averaged 1.36 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.79 goals from Angust Nazran and 1.70 from Pobeda. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 58%, against 24%, 27% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Angust Nazran (green) and Pobeda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angust Nazran | LLLLL | 0.30 | 1.10 | 20% | 30% |
| Pobeda | WWWWL | 2.00 | 1.70 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.68 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.74 |
| Pobeda Win | 49% | 1.93 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.17 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.