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NWSL Women · USA
Angel City W vs Bay FC W prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 00:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Angel City W host Bay FC W in the NWSL Women (USA) on 25 Oct 2026, 00:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Angel City W had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 11. Bay FC W had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Angel City W's last 10 and 6 of Bay FC W's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Angel City W averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Bay FC W averaged 0.85 scored and 1.85 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Angel City W and 0.78 from Bay FC W. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 13%, against 57%, 22% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel City W | WDWWW | 2.10 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
| Bay FC W | DLLWD | 1.20 | 2.00 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| Angel City W Win | 54% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other NWSL Women matches that day
- Denver Summit W vs Racing Louisville W · 24 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · NWSL Women
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40