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Serie D - Girone F · Italy

Ancona vs Fossombrone prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsNo priceFinal score 2–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Ancona host Fossombrone in the Serie D - Girone F (Italy) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Ancona 2–3 Fossombrone.

Going into the match, Ancona had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Fossombrone had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Ancona's last 10 and 4 of Fossombrone's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ancona averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Fossombrone averaged 0.75 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.53 goals from Ancona and 0.85 from Fossombrone. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 20%. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Ancona (green) and Fossombrone (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form61% – 39%
Attack62% – 38%
Defence67% – 33%
Head-to-head71% – 29%
Goals58% – 42%
Overall strength57% – 42%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
AnconaWDWDD1.300.8060%20%
FossombroneLDWDL0.801.7040%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

More on this match

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