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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · Portugal
Amora vs Lagoa prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Amora host Lagoa in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D (Portugal) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Amora Win — Amora to win. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Amora 1–1 Lagoa.
Going into the match, Amora had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 9 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Lagoa had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 7, with 8 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Amora's last 9 and 5 of Lagoa's last 7; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Amora averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Lagoa averaged 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
The 1X2 prices imply about 52% for Amora, 26% for the draw and 22% for Lagoa once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Amora (green) and Lagoa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Amora Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Amora HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.