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Premier League · Wales
Ammanford AFC vs Holywell prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ammanford AFC host Holywell in the Premier League (Wales) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ammanford AFC 2–1 Holywell.
Going into the match, Ammanford AFC had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 29. Holywell had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 30 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ammanford AFC's last 10 and 8 of Holywell's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ammanford AFC averaged 0.60 goals scored and 3.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Holywell averaged 1.00 scored and 3.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.99 goals from Ammanford AFC and 1.62 from Holywell. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 31%, against 33%, 25% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 88%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ammanford AFC (green) and Holywell (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammanford AFC | LLDLL | 0.60 | 2.90 | 40% | 60% |
| Holywell | DLLLD | 1.10 | 3.00 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Holywell Win | 42% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.