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Botola Pro · Morocco
Amal Tiznit vs Difaa EL Jadida prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Amal Tiznit host Difaa EL Jadida in the Botola Pro (Morocco) on 10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Amal Tiznit to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Amal Tiznit 2–5 Difaa EL Jadida.
Going into the match, Amal Tiznit had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Difaa EL Jadida had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Amal Tiznit's last 10 and 8 of Difaa EL Jadida's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Amal Tiznit averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Difaa EL Jadida averaged 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from Amal Tiznit and 2.16 from Difaa EL Jadida. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 56%, against 38%, 32% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Amal Tiznit (green) and Difaa EL Jadida (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amal Tiznit | WLDDW | 0.90 | 1.00 | 60% | 30% |
| Difaa EL Jadida | LLDLD | 1.30 | 2.00 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Amal Tiznit 0–3 Difaa EL Jadida
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 40% | 2.38 |
| Amal Tiznit Win | 38% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.