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Torneo Federal A · Argentina
Alvarado vs Defensores de Belgrano VR prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alvarado host Defensores de Belgrano VR in the Torneo Federal A (Argentina) on 4 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Alvarado to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Alvarado 2–0 Defensores de Belgrano VR.
Going into the match, Alvarado had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 7. Defensores de Belgrano VR had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Alvarado's last 10 and 2 of Defensores de Belgrano VR's last 10; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alvarado averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Defensores de Belgrano VR averaged 1.00 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Alvarado and 0.45 from Defensores de Belgrano VR. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 10%. For the published pick itself the model gives 90%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alvarado (green) and Defensores de Belgrano VR (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvarado | DDLWW | 1.20 | 0.70 | 40% | 20% |
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | DWWLL | 1.00 | 0.70 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Sep 2026 · Defensores de Belgrano VR 2–2 Alvarado