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Torneo Federal A · Argentina
Alvarado vs Cipolletti prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alvarado host Cipolletti in the Torneo Federal A (Argentina) on 18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Alvarado 0–0 Cipolletti.
Going into the match, Alvarado had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Cipolletti had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Alvarado's last 10 and 5 of Cipolletti's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alvarado averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Cipolletti averaged 0.73 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from Alvarado and 0.60 from Cipolletti. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 15%, against 49%, 31% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alvarado (green) and Cipolletti (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvarado | LWDDL | 1.20 | 0.80 | 40% | 20% |
| Cipolletti | WWLWW | 1.60 | 0.90 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Oct 2026 · Cipolletti 1–0 Alvarado
- 13 Sep 2026 · Cipolletti 1–0 Alvarado
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Alvarado Win | 48% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.