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Persian Gulf Pro League · Iran
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aluminium Arak host Malavan in the Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) on 8 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Aluminium Arak to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.26, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aluminium Arak 1–1 Malavan.
Going into the match, Aluminium Arak had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Malavan had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6, with 5 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Aluminium Arak's last 6 and 3 of Malavan's last 6; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aluminium Arak averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Malavan averaged 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Aluminium Arak and 0.80 from Malavan. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 18%, against 40%, 31% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aluminium Arak (green) and Malavan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aluminium Arak | DWDWD | 1.33 | 0.50 | 33% | 33% |
| Malavan | WLLLW | 0.83 | 1.33 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.26 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.51 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.55 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 41% | 2.24 |
| Aluminium Arak Win | 40% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.