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1. SNL · Slovenia
Aluminij vs Olimpija Ljubljana prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aluminij host Olimpija Ljubljana in the 1. SNL (Slovenia) on 16 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aluminij 0–1 Olimpija Ljubljana.
Going into the match, Aluminij had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Olimpija Ljubljana had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Aluminij's last 10 and 5 of Olimpija Ljubljana's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aluminij averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Olimpija Ljubljana averaged 0.88 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Aluminij and 1.03 from Olimpija Ljubljana. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 37%, against 23%, 26% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 40%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aluminij (green) and Olimpija Ljubljana (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aluminij | LDWDL | 1.60 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
| Olimpija Ljubljana | DWLWW | 1.50 | 0.90 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Aug 2026 · Olimpija Ljubljana 1–0 Aluminij
- 11 Apr 2026 · Olimpija Ljubljana 2–1 Aluminij
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Olimpija Ljubljana Win | 49% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.