Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.21Market probability 76%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Altglienicke host Luckenwalde in the Regionalliga - Nordost (Germany) on 23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.21, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Altglienicke had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Luckenwalde had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 23 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Altglienicke's last 10 and 7 of Luckenwalde's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Altglienicke averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Luckenwalde averaged 1.36 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.28 goals from Altglienicke and 0.66 from Luckenwalde. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 8%, against 65%, 21% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Altglienicke (green) and Luckenwalde (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form80% – 20%

Attack56% – 44%

Defence73% – 27%

Head-to-head62% – 38%

Goals55% – 45%

Overall strength65% – 34%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Altglienicke	WLWWW	1.40	1.10	60%	50%
Luckenwalde	LWWLL	1.20	2.30	70%	80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	76%	1.21
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	76%	1.21
Altglienicke Win	65%	1.39
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	60%	1.52
BTTS No	53%	1.73
Over 2.5 Goals	51%	1.78
Under 2.5 Goals	49%	1.88
Over 3.5 Goals	29%	3.13

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.