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USL League One · USA
Alta vs Greenville Triumph prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alta host Greenville Triumph in the USL League One (USA) on 11 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Alta 2–2 Greenville Triumph.
Going into the match, Alta had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 21. Greenville Triumph had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Alta's last 10 and 6 of Greenville Triumph's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alta averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Greenville Triumph averaged 0.47 scored and 2.07 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Alta and 0.93 from Greenville Triumph. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 19%, against 44%, 24% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alta (green) and Greenville Triumph (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alta | LLLLL | 0.90 | 2.10 | 50% | 80% |
| Greenville Triumph | LLLLL | 1.00 | 2.10 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Greenville Triumph 1–2 Alta
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Alta Win | 43% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.