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Primera Division · El Salvador
Alianza vs Inter prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alianza host Inter in the Primera Division (El Salvador) on 11 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Alianza 2–2 Inter.
Going into the match, Alianza had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Inter had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Alianza's last 10 and 5 of Inter's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alianza averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Inter averaged 1.33 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Alianza and 1.16 from Inter. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 32%, against 38%, 28% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alianza (green) and Inter (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Aug 2026 · Inter 2–0 Alianza
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Alianza Win | 39% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.