Home › League stats › Friendlies Clubs › Alianza Lima vs Palestino
Friendlies Clubs · International
Alianza Lima vs Palestino prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alianza Lima host Palestino in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 1 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Alianza Lima 1–2 Palestino.
Going into the match, Alianza Lima had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. Palestino had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Alianza Lima's last 10 and 7 of Palestino's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alianza Lima averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Palestino averaged 0.93 scored and 1.27 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from Alianza Lima and 1.43 from Palestino. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 33%, against 47%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alianza Lima (green) and Palestino (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Lima | WLDLD | 1.40 | 1.00 | 70% | 40% |
| Palestino | LWLWW | 1.80 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Alianza Lima Win | 47% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Alianza Lima HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.