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2. Lig · Turkey
Aliağa FAŞ vs Menemen FK prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aliağa FAŞ host Menemen FK in the 2. Lig (Turkey) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aliağa FAŞ 1–0 Menemen FK.
Going into the match, Aliağa FAŞ had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 16. Menemen FK had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 7, with 12 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Aliağa FAŞ's last 10 and 2 of Menemen FK's last 7; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aliağa FAŞ averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Menemen FK averaged 1.50 scored and 3.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Aliağa FAŞ and 0.85 from Menemen FK. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 19%, against 70%, 18% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aliağa FAŞ (green) and Menemen FK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliağa FAŞ | WWLWW | 1.90 | 1.60 | 50% | 60% |
| Menemen FK | WWWLL | 1.71 | 2.29 | 29% | 71% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Aliağa FAŞ 5–0 Menemen FK
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Aliağa FAŞ Win | 66% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Aliağa FAŞ HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
| 3-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.