Home › League stats › Primera División RFEF - Group 2 › Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Algeciras vs Rayo Majadahonda prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Algeciras host Rayo Majadahonda in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Algeciras 1–0 Rayo Majadahonda.
Going into the match, Algeciras had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 19. Rayo Majadahonda had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Algeciras's last 10 and 4 of Rayo Majadahonda's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Algeciras averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Rayo Majadahonda averaged 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Algeciras and 0.81 from Rayo Majadahonda. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 25%, against 50%, 28% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Algeciras (green) and Rayo Majadahonda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algeciras | WDLLL | 1.20 | 1.90 | 80% | 60% |
| Rayo Majadahonda | LWDLL | 1.10 | 0.70 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Algeciras Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.