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Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Spain
Alfaro vs Calahorra prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alfaro host Calahorra in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Calahorra to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Alfaro 2–1 Calahorra.
Going into the match, Alfaro had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 8 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Calahorra had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Alfaro's last 8 and 4 of Calahorra's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alfaro averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Calahorra averaged 3.00 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Alfaro and 1.61 from Calahorra. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 41%. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alfaro (green) and Calahorra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.