Home › League stats › Serie D - Girone A › Alessandria vs Fezzanese
Serie D - Girone A · Italy
Alessandria vs Fezzanese prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alessandria host Fezzanese in the Serie D - Girone A (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Alessandria Win — Alessandria to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Alessandria 2–0 Fezzanese.
Going into the match, Alessandria had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 7 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Fezzanese had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6, with 7 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Alessandria's last 7 and 2 of Fezzanese's last 6; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alessandria averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Fezzanese averaged 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.40 goals from Alessandria and 0.85 from Fezzanese. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 11%, against 68%, 22% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alessandria (green) and Fezzanese (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessandria | LWWWL | 2.00 | 1.57 | 86% | 86% |
| Fezzanese | LLLWW | 1.17 | 1.17 | 33% | 33% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| Alessandria Win | 65% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.95 |
| Alessandria HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
| 2-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.