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Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina
Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aldosivi host Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina (Argentina) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aldosivi 1–3 Sarmiento Junin.
Going into the match, Aldosivi had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 17. Sarmiento Junin had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Aldosivi's last 10 and 7 of Sarmiento Junin's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aldosivi averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Sarmiento Junin averaged 1.29 scored and 2.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Aldosivi and 1.73 from Sarmiento Junin. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 42%, against 37%, 32% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 37%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aldosivi (green) and Sarmiento Junin (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi | LWLWL | 1.10 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
| Sarmiento Junin | LDWLW | 1.70 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 68% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.70 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Aldosivi Win | 37% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.