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National League Cup · England
Aldershot Town vs Norwich City U21 prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Aldershot Town host Norwich City U21 in the National League Cup (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Aldershot Town 5–3 Norwich City U21.
Going into the match, Aldershot Town had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Norwich City U21 had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Aldershot Town's last 10 and 7 of Norwich City U21's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Aldershot Town averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Norwich City U21 averaged 1.36 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from Aldershot Town and 1.32 from Norwich City U21. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 27%, against 38%, 25% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Aldershot Town (green) and Norwich City U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldershot Town | LLLWL | 1.30 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
| Norwich City U21 | WWLWD | 1.60 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.72 |
| Aldershot Town Win | 34% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.