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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Alcorcon vs Huesca prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alcorcon host Huesca in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 16 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Alcorcon 1–1 Huesca.
Going into the match, Alcorcon had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 9. Huesca had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Alcorcon's last 10 and 6 of Huesca's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alcorcon averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Huesca averaged 1.44 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Alcorcon and 0.88 from Huesca. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 24%, against 51%, 27% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alcorcon (green) and Huesca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Alcorcon Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera División RFEF - Group 2 matches that day
- FC Cartagena vs Europa Fc · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: FC Cartagena Win @ 1.62 · FT 3–0