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Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Spain
Alcobendas Sport vs Parla Escuela prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alcobendas Sport host Parla Escuela in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Parla Escuela to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.49, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Alcobendas Sport 1–0 Parla Escuela.
Going into the match, Alcobendas Sport had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 14. Parla Escuela had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4, with 7 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Alcobendas Sport's last 9 and 2 of Parla Escuela's last 4; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alcobendas Sport averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Parla Escuela averaged 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.91 goals from Alcobendas Sport and 1.44 from Parla Escuela. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 28%, against 44%, 28% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alcobendas Sport (green) and Parla Escuela (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcobendas Sport | LDLDW | 1.22 | 1.56 | 67% | 44% |
| Parla Escuela | DWDL | 1.75 | 1.75 | 50% | 75% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.29 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
| Alcobendas Sport HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.