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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Alcione vs Trento prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alcione host Trento in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Alcione 2–2 Trento.
Going into the match, Alcione had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 19. Trento had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Alcione's last 10 and 3 of Trento's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alcione averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Trento averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.97 goals from Alcione and 1.55 from Trento. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 50%, against 27%, 29% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alcione (green) and Trento (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.