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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Alcione vs Athletic Carpi prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alcione host Athletic Carpi in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 24 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Alcione to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.27, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Alcione had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Athletic Carpi had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Alcione's last 10 and 7 of Athletic Carpi's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alcione averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Athletic Carpi averaged 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from Alcione and 1.72 from Athletic Carpi. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 35%, against 43%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alcione (green) and Athletic Carpi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcione | WDDDL | 1.70 | 1.50 | 80% | 60% |
| Athletic Carpi | WLLLD | 1.40 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other Serie C - Girone A matches that day
- Union Brescia vs Cittadella · 24 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone A
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Treviso vs Dolomiti Bellunesi · 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.31