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UEFA Nations League · International
Albania vs San Marino prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Albania host San Marino in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Albania 2–1 San Marino.
Going into the match, Albania had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. San Marino had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5, with 2 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Albania's last 5 and 2 of San Marino's last 5; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Albania averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home San Marino averaged 0.50 scored and 3.00 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 91% for Albania, 6% for the draw and 3% for San Marino once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Albania (green) and San Marino (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albania | LWWLL | 1.20 | 0.80 | 20% | 40% |
| San Marino | LLLLL | 0.40 | 3.60 | 40% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Sep 2026 · San Marino 0–3 Albania
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 4-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.