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Serie D - Girone G · Italy
Albalonga vs Anzio prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Albalonga host Anzio in the Serie D - Girone G (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.32, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Albalonga 0–2 Anzio.
Going into the match, Albalonga had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Anzio had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Albalonga's last 10 and 4 of Anzio's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Albalonga averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Anzio averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Albalonga and 1.25 from Anzio. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 43%, against 52%, 25% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Albalonga (green) and Anzio (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.39 |
| Albalonga Win | 52% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.83 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.98 |
| Albalonga HT & FT | 33% | 2.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.