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Segunda División · Spain
Albacete vs Eibar prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Albacete host Eibar in the Segunda División (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Albacete 1–3 Eibar.
Going into the match, Albacete had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Eibar had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Albacete's last 10 and 4 of Eibar's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Albacete averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Eibar averaged 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.79 goals from Albacete and 1.74 from Eibar. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 59%, against 33%, 28% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Albacete (green) and Eibar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Apr 2026 · Albacete 0–3 Eibar
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.