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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Albacete II vs CF Talavera prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Albacete II host CF Talavera in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Albacete II 0–4 CF Talavera.
Going into the match, Albacete II had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. CF Talavera had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Albacete II's last 10 and 5 of CF Talavera's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Albacete II averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home CF Talavera averaged 0.83 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Albacete II and 1.40 from CF Talavera. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 42%, against 36%, 29% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Albacete II (green) and CF Talavera (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete II | DLWDW | 1.30 | 1.40 | 30% | 40% |
| CF Talavera | WDDDL | 0.70 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.84 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Albacete II Win | 36% | 2.50 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.