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Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alanyaspor host Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Alanyaspor to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Alanyaspor had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Kocaelispor had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Alanyaspor's last 10 and 3 of Kocaelispor's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alanyaspor averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Kocaelispor averaged 0.63 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Alanyaspor and 0.73 from Kocaelispor. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 24%, against 47%, 29% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alanyaspor (green) and Kocaelispor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | LDWDW | 1.10 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Kocaelispor | LLWLW | 0.90 | 1.00 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.80 |
| Alanyaspor Win | 47% | 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.