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Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alanyaspor host Erzurumspor FK in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Alanyaspor to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Alanyaspor 0–0 Erzurumspor FK.
Going into the match, Alanyaspor had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Erzurumspor FK had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Alanyaspor's last 10 and 4 of Erzurumspor FK's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alanyaspor averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Erzurumspor FK averaged 0.67 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Alanyaspor and 0.64 from Erzurumspor FK. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 19%, against 48%, 28% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alanyaspor (green) and Erzurumspor FK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | WDWLW | 1.40 | 1.10 | 70% | 60% |
| Erzurumspor FK | WLWDL | 0.80 | 1.40 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Alanyaspor Win | 49% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.