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Second League A - Division A Gold · Russia
Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs FK Sokol Saratov prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alaniya Vladikavkaz host FK Sokol Saratov in the Second League A - Division A Gold (Russia) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.23, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2–0 FK Sokol Saratov.
Going into the match, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had won 1, drawn 7 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. FK Sokol Saratov had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Alaniya Vladikavkaz's last 10 and 7 of FK Sokol Saratov's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alaniya Vladikavkaz averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home FK Sokol Saratov averaged 0.91 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Alaniya Vladikavkaz and 1.01 from FK Sokol Saratov. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 24%, against 51%, 24% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alaniya Vladikavkaz (green) and FK Sokol Saratov (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaniya Vladikavkaz | DLDDD | 1.20 | 1.30 | 50% | 30% |
| FK Sokol Saratov | DLDDD | 1.10 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · FK Sokol Saratov 2–1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.78 |
| Alaniya Vladikavkaz Win | 51% | 1.87 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.