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AFC Champions League Elite · International
Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al-Wasl FC host Al-Ahli Jeddah in the AFC Champions League Elite (International) on 12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al-Wasl FC 1–3 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Going into the match, Al-Wasl FC had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 12. Al-Ahli Jeddah had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Al-Wasl FC's last 10 and 5 of Al-Ahli Jeddah's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Wasl FC averaged 2.88 goals scored and 1.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Al-Ahli Jeddah averaged 1.53 scored and 1.73 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.25 goals from Al-Wasl FC and 1.50 from Al-Ahli Jeddah. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 25%, against 26%, 25% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al-Wasl FC (green) and Al-Ahli Jeddah (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Wasl FC | WWWLD | 2.70 | 1.20 | 70% | 90% |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | WLDWL | 2.20 | 1.30 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.