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Division 1 · UAE
Al Thaid vs Al Jazira Al Hamra prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Thaid host Al Jazira Al Hamra in the Division 1 (UAE) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Thaid 1–2 Al Jazira Al Hamra.
Going into the match, Al Thaid had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Al Jazira Al Hamra had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Al Thaid's last 10 and 4 of Al Jazira Al Hamra's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Thaid averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Al Jazira Al Hamra averaged 0.29 scored and 2.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Al Thaid and 1.03 from Al Jazira Al Hamra. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 22%, against 57%, 23% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Thaid (green) and Al Jazira Al Hamra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Thaid | LLWWW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
| Al Jazira Al Hamra | DLWLD | 0.90 | 1.90 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Al Thaid 1–0 Al Jazira Al Hamra
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| Al Thaid Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Al Thaid HT & FT | 41% | 2.30 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Division 1 matches that day
- Dubai City vs Al Hamriyah · 17 Oct 2026, 13:05 UTC · Division 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 0–2