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Premier League · Kuwait
Al Tadhamon vs Al Qadsia prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:50 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Tadhamon host Al Qadsia in the Premier League (Kuwait) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:50 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Tadhamon 0–2 Al Qadsia.
Going into the match, Al Tadhamon had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 15. Al Qadsia had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Al Tadhamon's last 10 and 4 of Al Qadsia's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Tadhamon averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Al Qadsia averaged 0.83 scored and 0.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.47 goals from Al Tadhamon and 1.79 from Al Qadsia. From that it rates a home win at 8%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 69%, against 8%, 18% and 74% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Tadhamon | LLLLD | 0.90 | 1.50 | 50% | 30% |
| Al Qadsia | LWLWD | 1.20 | 1.00 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 May 2026 · Al Tadhamon 0–1 Al Qadsia
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Al Qadsia Win | 72% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.53 |
| Al Qadsia HT & FT | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.