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Stars League · Qatar
Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Shamal host Al-Duhail SC in the Stars League (Qatar) on 8 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Shamal 0–4 Al-Duhail SC.
Going into the match, Al Shamal had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 20. Al-Duhail SC had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Al Shamal's last 10 and 6 of Al-Duhail SC's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Shamal averaged 2.14 goals scored and 2.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Al-Duhail SC averaged 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from Al Shamal and 2.00 from Al-Duhail SC. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 56%, against 29%, 26% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Shamal (green) and Al-Duhail SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shamal | WWDDW | 2.60 | 2.00 | 90% | 80% |
| Al-Duhail SC | WWDDD | 1.70 | 0.90 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.