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Stars League · Qatar
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Shahaniya host Lusail City in the Stars League (Qatar) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Shahaniya 1–0 Lusail City.
Going into the match, Al Shahaniya had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Lusail City had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Al Shahaniya's last 9 and 4 of Lusail City's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Shahaniya averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Lusail City averaged 1.00 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Al Shahaniya and 1.44 from Lusail City. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 43%, against 46%, 24% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Shahaniya (green) and Lusail City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shahaniya | LWDLW | 1.67 | 1.44 | 67% | 56% |
| Lusail City | DWDWD | 1.30 | 1.40 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.