Al-Shabab vs Smail prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 12:50 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.25Market probability 75%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Al-Shabab host Smail in the Professional League (Oman) on 23 Oct 2026, 12:50 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Al-Shabab had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 12. Smail had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 21 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Al-Shabab's last 10 and 5 of Smail's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Shabab averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Smail averaged 1.57 scored and 2.43 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.54 goals from Al-Shabab and 0.84 from Smail. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 10%, against 70%, 20% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Al-Shabab (green) and Smail (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form60% – 40%

Attack75% – 25%

Defence58% – 42%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals73% – 27%

Overall strength63% – 36%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Al-Shabab	WLWWW	1.90	1.20	50%	60%
Smail	DDDDL	1.30	2.10	50%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

10 Apr 2026 · Smail 0–7 Al-Shabab

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	75%	1.25
Al-Shabab Win	71%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	69%	1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
BTTS No	58%	1.53
Over 2.5 Goals	52%	1.80
Al-Shabab HT & FT	51%	1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.