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Division 1 · Saudi Arabia
Al Saqer vs Al Jabalain prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Saqer host Al Jabalain in the Division 1 (Saudi Arabia) on 13 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Al Jabalain to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Saqer 1–3 Al Jabalain.
Going into the match, Al Saqer had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Al Jabalain had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Al Saqer's last 8 and 2 of Al Jabalain's last 10; 0 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Saqer averaged 0.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Al Jabalain averaged 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.69 goals from Al Saqer and 0.79 from Al Jabalain. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 39% and an away win at 33%, against 26%, 29% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Saqer (green) and Al Jabalain (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Saqer | WLDDD | 0.63 | 0.63 | 38% | 0% |
| Al Jabalain | DWDDW | 1.00 | 0.70 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 71% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Al Jabalain Win | 42% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.