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Premier League · Kuwait
Al Salmiyah vs Al Shabab prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 17:05 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Salmiyah host Al Shabab in the Premier League (Kuwait) on 10 Oct 2026, 17:05 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Al Salmiyah Win — Al Salmiyah to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Salmiyah 0–2 Al Shabab.
Going into the match, Al Salmiyah had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Al Shabab had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Al Salmiyah's last 10 and 5 of Al Shabab's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Salmiyah averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Al Shabab averaged 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.87 goals from Al Salmiyah and 1.02 from Al Shabab. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 19%, against 62%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Salmiyah | WWLLW | 1.40 | 1.20 | 40% | 50% |
| Al Shabab | LDWWL | 1.10 | 1.90 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Al Salmiyah 3–0 Al Shabab
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Al Salmiyah Win | 62% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.