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AFC Champions League Elite · International
Al Sadd vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Sadd host Al-Hilal Saudi FC in the AFC Champions League Elite (International) on 13 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Sadd 0–2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC.
Going into the match, Al Sadd had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 20. Al-Hilal Saudi FC had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 30 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Al Sadd's last 10 and 4 of Al-Hilal Saudi FC's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Sadd averaged 2.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Al-Hilal Saudi FC averaged 2.64 scored and 0.45 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Al Sadd and 2.23 from Al-Hilal Saudi FC. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 53%, against 12%, 21% and 67% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Sadd (green) and Al-Hilal Saudi FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Sadd | LLWWW | 2.60 | 2.00 | 80% | 90% |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | WWWLW | 3.00 | 0.80 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Apr 2026 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–3 Al Sadd
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC Win | 59% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.