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Stars League · Qatar
Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi SC prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Sadd host Al-Arabi SC in the Stars League (Qatar) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Al Sadd Win — Al Sadd to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Sadd 2–3 Al-Arabi SC.
Going into the match, Al Sadd had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 18. Al-Arabi SC had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Al Sadd's last 10 and 5 of Al-Arabi SC's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Sadd averaged 3.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Al-Arabi SC averaged 0.86 scored and 2.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.98 goals from Al Sadd and 1.99 from Al-Arabi SC. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 25%, against 60%, 21% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Sadd (green) and Al-Arabi SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Sadd | LWWWW | 2.80 | 1.80 | 80% | 90% |
| Al-Arabi SC | LDWDD | 0.90 | 2.30 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 1.36 |
| Al Sadd Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| Al Sadd HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.