Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS NoOdds 1.73Market probability 54%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Al Riyadh host Al-Hilal Saudi FC in the Pro League (Saudi Arabia) on 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Al Riyadh had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Al-Hilal Saudi FC had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Al Riyadh's last 10 and 3 of Al-Hilal Saudi FC's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Riyadh averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Al-Hilal Saudi FC averaged 2.58 scored and 0.42 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.64 goals from Al Riyadh and 2.56 from Al-Hilal Saudi FC. From that it rates a home win at 6%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 78%, against 6%, 13% and 81% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Al Riyadh (green) and Al-Hilal Saudi FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%

Attack22% – 78%

Defence40% – 60%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals23% – 77%

Overall strength24% – 76%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Al Riyadh	DWDLW	1.30	1.90	40%	50%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC	WWWWL	2.80	0.60	30%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	77%	1.20
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1st Half Win	64%	1.44
Al-Hilal Saudi FC HT & FT	62%	1.53
BTTS No	54%	1.73
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	51%	1.80
Over 10.5 Corners	50%	1.83
2nd Half Higher Goals	46%	2.05
0-2	14%	7.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.