Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.36Market probability 67%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Al-Karma in the Iraqi League (Iraq) on 17 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Al-Karma to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0–0 Al-Karma.

Going into the match, Al Quwa Al Jawiya had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 14. Al-Karma had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Al Quwa Al Jawiya's last 10 and 6 of Al-Karma's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Quwa Al Jawiya averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Al-Karma averaged 1.33 scored and 0.78 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Al Quwa Al Jawiya and 1.24 from Al-Karma. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 41%, against 33%, 29% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Al Quwa Al Jawiya (green) and Al-Karma (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form32% – 68%

Attack42% – 58%

Defence40% – 60%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals38% – 63%

Overall strength37% – 62%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Al Quwa Al Jawiya	LWDLL	1.20	1.40	70%	40%
Al-Karma	WWWWW	1.80	0.70	60%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

10 May 2026 · Al-Karma 3–0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	71%	1.28
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	68%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.37
Under 2.5 Goals	55%	1.70
BTTS Yes	51%	1.79
Over 2.5 Goals	45%	2.10
Al-Karma Win	38%	2.35
Draw	29%	3.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.