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AFC Champions League Elite · International
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ain prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Al Ain in the AFC Champions League Elite (International) on 12 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–4 Al Ain.
Going into the match, Al Quwa Al Jawiya had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Al Ain had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Al Quwa Al Jawiya's last 10 and 6 of Al Ain's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Quwa Al Jawiya averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Al Ain averaged 2.88 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Al Quwa Al Jawiya and 2.30 from Al Ain. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 60%, against 18%, 22% and 60% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Quwa Al Jawiya (green) and Al Ain (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya | WDLLW | 1.40 | 1.30 | 70% | 40% |
| Al Ain | DLLWD | 2.40 | 1.30 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Al Ain Win | 61% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.