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Pro League · Saudi Arabia
Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al-Nassr host Al Diriyah in the Pro League (Saudi Arabia) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al-Nassr 3–0 Al Diriyah.
Going into the match, Al-Nassr had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 14. Al Diriyah had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Al-Nassr's last 10 and 4 of Al Diriyah's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al-Nassr averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Al Diriyah averaged 2.14 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Al-Nassr and 1.14 from Al Diriyah. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 24%, against 66%, 19% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al-Nassr (green) and Al Diriyah (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Nassr | LDWLW | 2.00 | 1.40 | 60% | 80% |
| Al Diriyah | DWLWD | 1.40 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Aug 2026 · Al Diriyah 1–4 Al-Nassr
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Al-Nassr Win | 67% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 46% | 2.00 |
| Al-Nassr HT & FT | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.