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FA Cup · Oman
Al Nasr vs Smail prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Nasr host Smail in the FA Cup (Oman) on 1 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Al Nasr Win — Al Nasr to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Nasr 3–3 Smail.
Going into the match, Al Nasr had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Smail had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Al Nasr's last 10 and 5 of Smail's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Nasr averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Smail averaged 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.54 goals from Al Nasr and 1.19 from Smail. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 15%, against 59%, 22% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Nasr (green) and Smail (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 May 2026 · Al Nasr 1–1 Smail
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Al Nasr Win | 59% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.61 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| Al Nasr HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.