Al Nasr vs Baniyas SC prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 65%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Al Nasr host Baniyas SC in the Presidents Cup (UAE) on 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Al Nasr had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Baniyas SC had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Al Nasr's last 10 and 6 of Baniyas SC's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Nasr averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Baniyas SC averaged 1.17 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Al Nasr and 0.77 from Baniyas SC. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 15%, against 57%, 23% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Al Nasr (green) and Baniyas SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength50% – 50%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Al Nasr	WWWDW	1.90	1.00	70%	60%
Baniyas SC	LLWWD	1.20	1.90	60%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	65%	1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	59%	1.57
BTTS Yes	56%	1.67
Over 2.5 Goals	56%	1.62
Al Nasr Win	54%	1.57
Over 9.5 Corners	52%	1.82

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.