Al Nasar vs Al Tadhamon prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 16:55 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 66%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Al Nasar host Al Tadhamon in the Premier League (Kuwait) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:55 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Al Nasar 2–1 Al Tadhamon.

Going into the match, Al Nasar had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Al Tadhamon had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Al Nasar's last 10 and 4 of Al Tadhamon's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Nasar averaged 1.20 goals scored and 2.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Al Tadhamon averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from Al Nasar and 1.10 from Al Tadhamon. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 22%, against 49%, 24% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Al Nasar (green) and Al Tadhamon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form100% – 0%

Attack71% – 29%

Defence48% – 52%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals62% – 38%

Overall strength59% – 40%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Al Nasar	LLWWD	1.30	1.90	80%	70%
Al Tadhamon	LLLLL	0.80	1.60	40%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

21 Jun 2026 · Al Tadhamon 1–1 Al Nasar

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	75%	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals	75%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	66%	1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
BTTS Yes	56%	1.67
Over 8.5 Corners	56%	1.67
Over 2.5 Goals	53%	1.70

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.