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Division 1 · Saudi Arabia
Al Najma vs Damac prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Najma host Damac in the Division 1 (Saudi Arabia) on 12 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 52% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Al Najma 3–0 Damac.
Going into the match, Al Najma had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Damac had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Al Najma's last 10 and 5 of Damac's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Najma averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Damac averaged 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from Al Najma and 1.14 from Damac. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 27%, against 52%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Najma (green) and Damac (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.75 |
| Al Najma Win | 49% | 1.73 |
| Al Najma HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.